The majority of Democrats like to forget about the Democratic primary that took place in New Hampshire in 1968, which resulted in the removal of a sitting president. On the other hand, Joe Biden unquestionably remembers. President Lyndon B. Johnson decided to withdraw from the race even though he received more votes than any other contender.
This decision was made due to his poor performance versus an outsider. These memories must give the present president the creeps; he or she must be afraid that the past may be repeating itself even if it has already happened.
Even though it is impossible to win a primary election when one decides not to run for office, President Biden nonetheless managed to do it. How come? This was mostly because his party’s racial identity politics required them to refrain from holding their first vote in a state that is so predominately white.
A second reason was that Biden was motivated by something. When it came to the Democratic primary election in the state in 2020, he earned very little amount of support and finished toward the bottom of the pack. The victory in South Carolina, which Biden obtained with the assistance of James Clyburn, the most prominent Democrat in the state, was the determining factor in the primary election for the position of vice president in 2020.
In addition to being a renowned member of Congress and the leader of a powerful local organization, Clyburn is a strong figure in the black Democratic community that resides in South Carolina. Clyburn and other national Democrats realized that Biden was the final chance for the Democrats to prevent socialist Bernie Sanders from obtaining the candidacy and, most likely, losing to Trump and forcing Democrats to lose control of the House and Senate.
Biden represented the Democrats’ last hope to get Bernie Sanders to win the nomination. In the face of that imminent disaster, the party came together in support of Biden, which ultimately led to his being nominated for the president and then winning the nomination. Even though the specifics of Clyburn’s requests for support are still unknown, the measures that Biden and the party have taken are now known.
During the beginning of the campaign, Biden made it clear that he intended to choose a black running partner. His initial pick, Val Demings, who is now serving as a member of the House of Representatives and was a former Orlando police chief, was defeated by Kamala Harris. It is unfortunate for the president that the former prosecutor general and senator from California has garnered a lot of opposition from the general public.
Any effort to remove her from the ticket would only serve to further alienate Biden’s already unpopular Black base, although her deficiencies are clear. The Democrats decided to relocate their first primary away from New Hampshire and toward a state whose population more closely resembled that of the Democratic base. This decision was made using the same line of reasoning as identity politics.
Following is a breakdown of New Hampshire’s population according to race: They are 92% white and 2% black. As an example, in the general election that took place in 2020, Democrats obtained about sixty percent of the vote from white people and nineteen percent from black voters. It is estimated that around 26% of the population of South Carolina is comprised of black people, making them more typical Democratic supporters.
After losing New Hampshire, however, Biden found himself in a difficult situation. By law, the primary election in the Granite State must take place before the primary elections in any other state. This is a distinction that the Granite State has proudly maintained for a considerable amount of time. The Democratic National Committee made several requests, but the state party did not comply with their request to relocate the primary.
If those in control in New Hampshire made that change, the Democratic Party in the state was almost on the edge of disintegrating. In the next step, Democrats on the national level took things to the next level by saying that the results of the state’s primary elections would not be taken into consideration at the convention. Despite this, the state party did not give up and continued to fight.
However, although Joe Biden is not running for office and his name is not even on the ballot, the Democratic primary in New Hampshire is still the most competitive in the nation. As more time passed, the advisers to Vice President Joe Biden realized that the president’s decision to decline a primary in a state that takes great pleasure in being the number one in the nation might potentially result in a public relations effort that is a complete and utter failure.
If Biden were to suffer a defeat there, it would add gasoline to the flames of suspicion around his chances of winning in November. This is because his abysmal poll numbers (which are now in the low 40 percent range throughout the country) have already started to do so. In light of this gloomy forecast, the Democratic Party of New Hampshire has begun making preparations for a presidential campaign that will be run via write-in candidates.
Writing in your name as a write-in candidate is never an easy task, but there are two reasons why polls indicate that Biden has a good chance of winning the election. In the first place, there is the organized support of the state Democratic Party. The second point is that, unlike in 1968, there is not another influential Democrat running against the current president. This is a significant departure from the situation.
The only major opponent among the about twenty names who are on the Democratic primary list is Dean Phillips, a congressman from Minnesota who is on the center-left of the political spectrum. Even though Phillips is a decent and well-intentioned candidate, he has not been able to garner national support or put out a persuasive program beyond the assertion that the country needs new leadership. This is in contrast to Senator Gene McCarthy, who is also from Minnesota.
“Vermin Supreme,” “Paperboy Love Prince,” and an unknown figure who calls themselves “President R. Boddie” are some of the other remarkable items that may be found on the ballot for the Democratic primary in New Hampshire. Assuming that Biden is defeated by Vermin Supreme, it is likely that other rats would abandon ship.
The pro-Palestinian term “Cease Fire” (in Gaza) is being written instead of any candidate’s name, which is something that Biden is also facing a campaign against. Biden is subject to opposition from progressives and anti-Israel activists all around the nation, and this effort is a continuation of the enmity that they have shown against him.
Even with all of these challenges, it seems like Biden is still in a strong position to win the election, according to reports coming from the frozen ground in New Hampshire. Even though a victory would not amount to much, a defeat or very low support may. If we are fortunate, Vice President Biden will be able to sidestep these challenges and easily win the election in South Carolina.
If Biden disregards the Granite State throughout the winter, he runs the danger of losing the electoral votes that the Granite State has in November. The vote of that small state in the general election is less important than the macroeconomic trends, the inflow of illegal immigrants, and the continuance of hostilities in the Middle East and Ukraine. These factors are more likely to have an impact on the reelection of Vice President Joe Biden from the United States.
Currently, Vice President Biden is facing a wide variety of obstacles. The primary election in New Hampshire is not likely to be of much assistance to them either.
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